Wednesday, September 11, 2013

While the Old Players are Gone, New Talent Rises



There have been lots of talks about Mariano Rivera retiring at the end of this year, and rightfully so. Rivera is the best closer of all time, and it might stick that way for a good while. Every stadium, as you might have saw in the all-star game, has given standing ovations to Sandman, even at Fenway. This weekend, it’ll be the last time Mo will be in Boston. 

Obviously, Mariano has done it both with his record of saves (650) and games finished (947), but also has an absurd 2.21 ERA with an MLB best 205 ERA+. He actually had one of his best years in the second year of his career in 1996. While he had 11 years where he had an ERA under 2, his 1996 year was not one of them, and he only had five saves. So why was it his best year? Well, he pitched 30 more innings than his career average, went 8-3, and compiled a career best 5.0 WAR. He also was third on the ballot for Cy Young that year.

Mo never won a Cy Young award, but was a thirteen time all-star, and will always be remembered as the Yankees closer. He got batters to hit a ground ball more than half the time, even though he only mainly uses two pitches: a fastball and a cutter. Note that a cutter is just like a fastball, but it cuts downward a bit. It’ll be weird to have seasons without him.

While Mariano Rivera is planning on retiring, other notable players in the early 2000’s will also be gone soon. Three other big names are Jason Giambi, Todd Helton, and another Yankee, Andy Pettitte. 

Jason Giambi has some scary years in the early 2000’s. He and Bonds were probably the most dangerous hitters in baseball, as Giambi would win the MVP in 2000, and had an even better year in 2001. In his prime (from age 27 to 31, and 1998-2002), Giambi batted .319/.439/.587 with 182 home runs and 612 RBI’s. Unfortunately for him, after those years he still was able to get on base, but his batting average sharply declined. He also has his name placed in the steroid era too. Is he hall of fame bound? Probably not, especially because of the steroid accusations, but he had some really good years, that’s for sure. Congrats to him for just hitting his 2000 hit in his career. 

 

Todd Helton has been the best hitter since Tony Gwynn, but much of that is tough tell since he’s played his entire career with Colorado. At Coors field, the offensive numbers will jump up dramatically. However, he should of won the MVP in 2000 anyways over the controversial Jeff Kent, where he batted .372/.463/.698 with 59 doubles, 42 home runs, 147 RBI’s, 216 hits, and an 8.9 WAR. Helton, 39, has too seen his numbers fall over his career, but still has a career .317/.415/.539. He’s a five time all-star, a four time silver slugger, and a three time gold glove winner.

Pettitte has always been just a name that everyone knows, in my opinion. What I mean by that is that he got a lot of support from the media and press, when he only had a few good seasons. Those good seasons, granted, were absurd, like his 21-8 season with the Yanks in 1996, or his 17-9 season with the pennant winning Astros in 2005. He has a career 3.86 ERA and a 255-151 record. He does win games, and that’s almost all that matters. He was no Roger Clemens, but he was Andy Pettitte. 

It’ll be tough to see these guys go, especially to baseball fans that remember them playing in their prime. But remember this: baseball is now filled with amazing young talent, and soon guys like these will just be replaced. So let’s take these four players and give them their next “generation” of their talent.

Mariano Rivera – Craig Kimbrel
 

This one is kind of obvious. Kimbrel is only 25 years old, and already has 135 saves and 370 strikeouts. Winner of the Rookie of the Year award in 2011 and the Rolaids Relief Man in both 2011 and 2012, Kimbrel looks to get his next one this year, as he has a career best .91 ERA and  tied with a career best 46 saves. He also has a 3.5 WAR, which is the best among relievers. 


The difference between Rivera and Kimbrel is that Kimbrel can strike out more batters, but Rivera can get guys out with less pitches. Will Kimbrel break Rivera’s record? It’s way too hard to tell. But he will be one of the best closers to ever play, that’s for sure.

Also note for the Yankees that it might be hard to replace someone like Mo Rivera, but David Robertson might just be the solution. He’s 4-1 with a 1.85 ERA this year, and has been a great set-up man his entire career.

Jason Giambi – Joey Votto
 


While we have known Votto for a long time already, the fact that he’s led the NL in OBP for the last four years makes me believe that he’s just like Giambi. A former MVP as well, Votto has a .306/.431/.497 this year. His slugging has died down a little, as he only 22 homers and 66 RBI’s this year (he had 37 homers and 113 RBI’s in his MVP season in 2010). He’s a solid player that strikes out a lot, but has to be pitched around almost half the time.




Todd Helton – Andrew McCutchen
Another obvious choice, in my opinion. Like Helton, McCutchen is an all-around player that hits for both contact and power. What’s different is that McCutchen can steal too, but hasn’t has a batting average of .372 yet. This year he bats .326/.405/.519 with 19 homers and 79 RBI’s, and is a top contender for MVP this year. Also remember that McCutchen is only 26 years old, too. He has some of the best offensive talent and defensive capabilities in the National League.
And finally,


Andy Pettitte – Jordan Zimmermann
This was a hard one. I picked Zimmermann because he is a consistent pitcher that can get wins with a solid ERA. This year, he 17-8 with a 3.36 ERA. While at times Zimmermann is really strong, there are times where he can get rocked hard. He’s already given up 18 home runs this year, but has struck out 143. He won’t be that ace for the Nationals, especially with Stephen Strasburg as a teammate, but watch him be a consistent pitcher that can get wins when they need it.

So the future is bright, there’s no doubt about that. Remember that there are so many other young players that have either dominated the MLB, or are showing signs that they will be an all-star. The minor leagues look really good, too. But I’ll miss watching the old players, too.

Email me at statsbuddy42@gmail.com for any questions/comments/concerns.

-Evan Boyd

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