Sunday, July 14, 2013

Power Rankings: 7 14 13



Power Rankings! Let’s see where each team is at right before the all-star break. Some big changes, and some teams stay the same.

1.      Cardinals: 56-36
Last Week: 3
ESPN Rank: 1
You might disagree, but right now their +123 run differential is really convincing me. Edward Mujica went 26/27 in save opportunities this half, posting a 2.27 ERA. He helps quality starts from Adam Wainwright, Shelby Miller, and Lance Lynn not go to waste. Speaking of Wainwright, he’s back as his usual self with a 12-5 record and a 2.30 ERA. I am still surprised that the Cardinals won the World Series two years ago even without Wainwright all season (he had Tommy John surgery). They might have the NL Rookie of the Year in Shelby Miller too. He’s 9-6 with a 2.92 ERA, and has 2.5 WAR. Pretty good for a youngster. And if I had to pick an NL MVP right now at half, it’d be catcher Yadier Molina. He bats .334/.381/.473, and is probably the best defensive catcher in baseball. The Cardinals have four starters batting over .300 (Molina, Allen Craig, Matt Carpenter, and Carlos Beltran). There’s still another half to go, but the Cardinals will be the most consistent.


2.      Pirates: 56-36
Last Week: 1
ESPN Rank:3
This Pirates team is much different from their usual “start well, then choke after the all-star break” motto. I think almost all of that notion comes from their pitching (because their hitting is actually sub-par). They have the best ERA (3.06) and batting average allowed (.225), and they have young talent that’s helped them get there. Jeff Locke is only 25 years old, and is 8-2 with a 2.15 ERA. They only have two official starters that qualify for titles (Locke and A.J. Burnett), but guys like Francisco Liriano and future star Gerrit Cole are making this team win. Liriano is 9-3 with a 2.00 ERA, and Cole is 4-2 with a 3.68 ERA. And we can’t forget Jason Grilli, who has posted 29 saves already. Don’t let their batting deceive you though, they still have guys like Andrew McCutchen, Pedro Alvarez, and Starling Marte, who also can play amazing defense and have speed or power to get on. Marte is the next future star as well. I’m excited to see this team perform next half.


3.      Red Sox: 58-38
Last Week: 2
ESPN Rank:2
What John Farrell has done to this team is astounding. He rebounded from a terrible year managed by Bobby Valentine, and has made the best out of his team. For example, David Ortiz looked like his career was winding down, but actually his physicality showed that he still had some stuff in him, which was a great move to keep him by the organization. He bats .322/.405/.615 with 19 homers and 65 RBI’s. Or how about the emergence of young talent in Daniel Nava and Jose Iglesias? Or the brilliance in Clay Buchholz? If he was healthy, he’d probably be on track to win the Cy Young Award. And when Koji Uehara (my favorite) rescued the bullpen to close, it seems like Farrell made the right decisions. The Red Sox are on track to win 98 games, which will get them the top bid in the tough AL East. 


4.      Athletics: 55-39
Last Week: 4
ESPN Rank:5
The team only put one person (Bartolo Colon) into the all-star game. This is a team that has 55 wins. How this happens, I don’t know. But hey, maybe it’s for the best. Manager Bob Melvin knows what he’s doing. So if Josh Donaldson, Yoenis Cespedes (who is hitting in the Home Run Derby, but is not an all-star, and yes that can happen) and A.J. Griffin don’t get into the all-star game, who cares? They’ll be ready to see the guys that were in October anyways. 


5.      Rangers: 54-40
Last Week: 6
ESPN Rank:7
Finally, the Rangers were the first team to hand Tigers’ Max Scherzer a loss. One player that has been under the radar for some reason is 3B Adrian Beltre. This is the guy that finished 3rd in the MVP Race last year, and would’ve won MVP in 2004 if Bonds didn’t kick ass that year. This year he’s batting .318/.359/.547 with 21 homers and a 3.4 WAR. In the past week he’s batted .429 too. He is a really good hitter, probably the best on the Rangers, so I don’t get why nobody talks about him.


6.      Braves: 54-40
Last Week: 5
ESPN Rank: 6
Remember when Justin Upton was on track to have the best year ever? Yeah, he’s batting .219 since May 1st. B.J. Upton has been doing just as bad. It’s not been a good year for the Upton brothers. At least they have pitching and future stars Mike Minor and Julio Teheran. Craig Kimbrel is also pitching like, well you know, Craig Kimbrel. They still have an easy lead in the NL East, and unless anyone in the East wants to change that, they have a slow ride to first place.


7.      Rays: 54-41
Last Week: 12
ESPN Rank:4
They had an easy schedule before the break, playing the Astros and White Sox. But hey, they took advantage, going 6-1 against the club. They now have won 9 of their last 10, and are now only 3.5 games out from Boston. What a great way to end the first half. 


8.      Reds: 52-42
Last Week: 7
ESPN Rank:8
The Reds have won only one of their past six series, in which their only success was sweeping the Giants, and that was when Homer Bailey threw a no-hitter. They have a comfortable 10 games over .500, but are now 5 games out of the Pirates and Cardinals. What’s nice to see is that they still have a comfortable spot in the all-star break. I can see them coming out of this slump and go hot though. 


9.      Orioles: 52-43
Last Week: 9
ESPN Rank: 10
Jim Johnson has the most saves in the MLB, but also the most blown saves. How that happens, I don’t know. But what I do know is that the Orioles have now lost their spot in the wild card, and are now 2 games out. Chris Davis has also cooled. They can’t wait for the all-star break.


10.  Tigers: 51-42
Last Week: 8
ESPN Rank:9
The Tigers were able to keep their lead in the Central after facing the Indians, but now they have the Rangers to close out, and Max Scherzer is no longer undefeated. They still have one of the best offenses in the country, if not the best, and I like their chances in October if they can keep it up.


11.  D-Backs: 50-44
Last Week: 13
ESPN Rank: 14
The D-Backs are still only 6 games over .500, but hey, they’re in first place and that’s what matters. They have an easy schedule to start off the second half as well. Patrick Corbin, the 23 year old, is now 11-1 with a 2.35 ERA and a .206 BAA. Paul Goldschmidt bats .310/.394/.557 with 21 homers and 77 RBI’s. That duo combines for an 8.1 WAR. Will they win their respective rewards? Goldschmidt might, I don’t think Corbin will win anything even if he keeps it up. 


12.  Yankees: 51-43
Last Week: 10
ESPN Rank:11
The Yankees are eight games over .500, but only have a +4 run differential. That’s probably because their hitting is mediocre, being 27th in the league in slugging % (.376). Without Robinson Cano, who has 21 homers and 64 RBI’s, I don’t know where this offense would be. They welcome back Derek Jeter though, who made his first performance ever since getting injured in the ALCS, but don’t expect him to come back 100% healthy any time soon. He left the game he played after going 1-4. 


13.  Indians: 50-44
Last Week: 11
ESPN Rank: 12
Props to Terry Francona and Cleveland for keeping up with the Tigers, I thought they would fall off by now. They are only a game and a half out of the Tigers, and could fall back in first after the break. Their 29-19 record at home can really help with games down the stretch. 


14.  Dodgers: 47-46
Last Week: 15
ESPN Rank: 15
Yasiel Puig didn’t make it into the all-star game, and rightfully so. But hey, they still have Clayton Kershaw, who enters the all-star break with an ERA under 2. Though they are only 1 game above .500, they are only 2.5 games out of first place. Watch Zack Greinke get red hot after he threw a 2-hit shutout against the Rockies.


15.  Nationals: 47-47
Last Week: 14
ESPN Rank: 13
The Nationals are starting to live up to expectations, but still can’t play more than .500 ball. For Christ sake, they’re a team that could win 100 games, but they can’t get past .500! They were 4 games over .500 earlier before, but now have lost their last 3 games and are still struggling. They are 20-29 on the road; that needs to change. But before Strasburg got rocked by the terrible Marlins, he had a 2.40 ERA. Did anyone realize that?


16.  Phillies: 47-48
Last Week: 19
ESPN Rank:17
The Phillies have moved to what was four games under to just 1 game under .500. Not bad, but that’s still not going to get them into the playoffs. Poor Ryan Howard though, he’s back on the DL and it looks like he’ll stay there. Same with Roy Halladay, he’s on the 60-day DL. 


17.  Blue Jays: 45-48
Last Week: 16
ESPN Rank: 18
Right now the Jays are 11.5 games back from Boston, and are slowly coming out of contention. R.A. Dickey said earlier that if they can get to .500 by the all-star break, they can “still take this thing down.” It’ll be quite interesting to see if that will be the case, or if Dickey is just old news.


18.  Angels: 44-48
Last Week: 17
ESPN Rank: 16
Josh Hamilton has surged these last few weeks, but that doesn’t seem like it’ll be enough for them to get back into the race. The Mike Trout, Albert Pujols, and Josh Hamilton combo should be unstoppable, and it actually has been working, but haven’t had much pitching to accompany it. Jered Weaver needs to be healthy this second half. Also, they just got shutout by Felix Hernandez, and today they have to play Hisashi Iwakuma. Man do they want the all-star break to come. 


19.  Rockies: 45-50
Last Week: 18
ESPN Rank:20
Even though they’re plagued by injuries, the Rockies will get Troy Tulowitzki and Dexter Fowler back soon. Until then, they need to keep playing at least .500 ball, or they will be out of contention. Watch them trade for a pitcher before the deadline, because they really need something to carry them.


20.  Royals: 43-48
Last Week: 20
ESPN Rank: 19
OF Alex Gordon and C Salvador Perez are the first duo named to the all-star team for the Royals in 10 years. That’s kind of sad, but hey, good for them. Ervin Santana, James Shields, and Jaime Guthrie are a trio that are doing pretty well now for the team, but can pitch even better in the next few years. I don’t see this team fading away this year, but I certainly don’t see them making any run.


21.  Giants: 43-50
Last Week: 21
ESPN Rank: 21
Tim Lincecum threw a no-hitter yesterday, but he also threw 148 PITCHES. Good lord! They need to stop celebrating that though and focus on getting back into the race. They are 12 games under .500 on the road, and have struggled mightily in July. They might not need a break though as they have won 3 in a row. 


22.  Cubs: 42-50
Last Week: 25
ESPN Rank:22
The Cubs dominated their crosstown rivals, sweeping the Sox and putting up 8 or more runs each game. They have actually won 5 of their last 7 series, including against the Pirates, and look to win 3 of four games against the Cardinals tonight. That’d be a great way to end the first half, but the second half will be filled with who’s going to get traded and who’s going where. I can actually see the Cubs going .500 at some point this year though.


23.  Mariners: 42-52
Last Week: 23
ESPN Rank: 24
Nick Franklin started for the Mariners on May 28th, and now only trails All-stars Matt Carpenter and Jason Kipnis for most extra base hits as a second baseman. Hisashi Iwakuma and King Felix Hernandez might be the best duo in pitching as well. Both have ERA’s under 3, and could easily be contenders in the Cy Young voting.


24.  Mets: 40-50
Last Week: 26
ESPN Rank: 23
If David Wright keeps it up, he could really be an MVP candidate. He now bats .306/.381/.404 with a 4.8 WAR. Unfortunately he’s on the Mets, who rank 28th in batting average.


25.  Padres: 41-54
Last Week: 22
ESPN Rank: 25
The Padres fell and they fell hard. After losing 11 in a row, they look like they could sell their stuff by the deadline. They’re not getting help from their hitting or pitching; they bat .242, which is 26th in the MLB, and have a .265 BAA, which is 27th in the MLB. Then they just got no hit by Lincecum, and crushed 10-1 two days ago. All-star break, can you come any sooner?


26.  Twins: 38-53
Last Week: 24
ESPN Rank: 26
I turn my back for one second and the Twins lose 11 of their last 13. After hanging around .500, they have dropped hard. Joe Mauer still bats .319 though!


27.  White Sox: 37-54
Last Week: 27
ESPN Rank: 27
The White Sox might move out of last place now, but that’s only because the Twins fell hard. The White Sox still are poor, having only Chris Sale to talk about. If the MLB took the highest WAR by position and put them to start in the all-star break, Sale would be the starter for the AL. Watch several players get moved before the deadline.


28.  Brewers: 37-56
Last Week: 28
ESPN Rank: 28
Ryan Bruan continues to announce that he has not used PED’s nor will in his career. Will he still get suspended? Probably.


29.  Marlins: 35-57
Last Week: 29
ESPN Rank: 29
Congrats to the Marlins, who moved out of 30th before the all-star break. They are out of contention in the playoffs, so watch out for them making moves to trade some guys, most notably OF Giancarlo Stanton.


30.  Astros: 33-60
Last Week: 30
ESPN Rank: 30
The Astros are the first team to 60 losses, and could easily finish with the worst record in MLB history. They have a -138 run differential, not because their offense is terrible or their pitching is struggling, but because both just suck. They cannot wait for #1 pick Mark Appel anytime soon.


Email me at statsbuddy42@gmail.com with any questions/comments/concerns.

-Evan Boyd

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